With rising expectations of U.S. interest rate hikes, the risk-free interest rate is expected to remain high, which may impact the Hong Kong stock market that has just started a rebound wave. First, Hong Kong's linked exchange rate system means that higher U.S. interest rates will directly push up Hong Kong's interbank lending rates, increasing corporate financing costs and even mortgage burdens for individuals, putting pressure on local property stocks and highly leveraged stocks. Second, a higher discount rate will suppress the valuations of technology and high-growth stocks, weakening the rebound momentum of Hong Kong stocks. As for the possibility of U.S. market funds flowing back into the significantly lagging Hong Kong market, the likelihood of large-scale occurrences in the short term is low, primarily because the high-interest-rate environment in the U.S. has enhanced the attractiveness of U.S. dollar assets, leading U.S. companies have strong profitability, and the mainland economy has not yet shown signs of recovery. However, if the gap-down opening of the Hong Kong market this morning (15th) is not too significant, speculators may still take short-term opportunities to buy index bull certificates to profit from a short-term rebound wave, but only small stakes should be used initially, with additional investments made only after the short-term rebound wave's movement has been confirmed.
*Articles published in《Economic Information》with or without a byline, the content reflects the authors' personal opinions and does not represent the stance of《Economic Information》.《Economic Information》plays the role of providing a free speech platform.