[ET Net News Agency, 5 September 2019] UBS Global Research lowered its target price for
Wharf REIC (01997) to HK$42.1 from HK$65 and downgraded its rating to "neutral" from
"buy".
The research house said Wharf REIC's share price has declined by 31% since the start of
May 2019. UBS believes the market has priced in a sluggish earnings outlook, that is based
on (1) China-US trade friction, (2) social unrest in Hong Kong, and (3) a narrower price
differential for luxury goods in China and Hong Kong, due to sharp renminbi depreciation
and China's value-added tax (VAT) cut.
UBS believes positive share price catalysts are lacking in the near term, due to
potential further deterioration in retail sales. It lowered its 2019-21 earnings forecasts
by 8-19% to reflect its expectations of lower turnover rent contribution, rental
reversion, and occupancy. (KL)